Pre-tourney Rankings
Arkansas St.
Sun Belt
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.0#257
Expected Predictive Rating-7.1#274
Pace80.0#18
Improvement-1.6#253

Offense
Total Offense-3.8#277
First Shot-3.5#275
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#204
Layup/Dunks-3.6#314
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#22
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.2#329
Freethrows+1.4#82
Improvement-1.5#251

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#227
First Shot-1.7#219
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#234
Layups/Dunks+2.8#62
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#141
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#324
Freethrows-1.3#258
Improvement-0.1#192
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 309   @ SIU Edwardsville L 70-79 54%     0 - 1 -16.1 -7.2 -8.5
  Nov 18, 2015 325   @ Savannah St. L 75-76 61%     0 - 2 -9.8 -3.7 -6.0
  Nov 22, 2015 261   Jackson St. W 78-69 62%     1 - 2 -0.1 -3.0 +1.9
  Nov 25, 2015 10   @ Oregon L 68-91 2%     1 - 3 -3.1 -8.5 +9.3
  Nov 27, 2015 20   @ Baylor L 72-94 2%     1 - 4 -4.2 +0.7 -3.5
  Dec 01, 2015 143   @ Missouri L 78-88 17%     1 - 5 -5.7 -0.6 -4.1
  Dec 04, 2015 158   North Dakota St. L 73-74 37%     1 - 6 -3.5 -0.8 -2.7
  Dec 18, 2015 220   @ Tennessee Martin L 70-74 30%     1 - 7 -4.6 -13.0 +8.9
  Dec 22, 2015 327   Central Arkansas W 77-67 81%     2 - 7 -5.1 -17.1 +10.5
  Dec 30, 2015 285   @ Troy W 84-81 46%     3 - 7 1 - 0 -2.0 +2.8 -5.1
  Jan 02, 2016 265   @ South Alabama W 89-67 40%     4 - 7 2 - 0 +18.5 +12.8 +4.3
  Jan 07, 2016 139   Louisiana Monroe W 68-65 OT 32%     5 - 7 3 - 0 +1.9 -10.0 +11.8
  Jan 09, 2016 126   Louisiana W 71-69 29%     6 - 7 4 - 0 +1.7 -8.1 +9.7
  Jan 16, 2016 260   Appalachian St. L 72-86 62%     6 - 8 4 - 1 -23.1 -14.0 -7.6
  Jan 18, 2016 77   Arkansas Little Rock W 76-73 17%     7 - 8 5 - 1 +7.2 +2.5 +4.6
  Jan 21, 2016 107   @ Texas Arlington L 64-91 11%     7 - 9 5 - 2 -19.6 -11.4 -5.1
  Jan 23, 2016 219   @ Texas St. L 68-78 30%     7 - 10 5 - 3 -10.6 +4.5 -16.2
  Jan 28, 2016 198   Georgia St. W 75-69 OT 47%     8 - 10 6 - 3 +0.9 -12.4 +12.2
  Jan 30, 2016 216   Georgia Southern L 66-71 51%     8 - 11 6 - 4 -11.3 -6.6 -5.0
  Feb 04, 2016 265   South Alabama W 79-73 OT 63%     9 - 11 7 - 4 -3.3 -6.3 +2.1
  Feb 06, 2016 285   Troy L 70-71 68%     9 - 12 7 - 5 -11.9 -5.2 -6.7
  Feb 11, 2016 126   @ Louisiana L 73-83 14%     9 - 13 7 - 6 -4.5 +1.0 -5.5
  Feb 13, 2016 139   @ Louisiana Monroe L 73-78 OT 16%     9 - 14 7 - 7 -0.2 +1.2 -1.4
  Feb 18, 2016 216   @ Georgia Southern L 59-90 30%     9 - 15 7 - 8 -31.5 -20.9 -7.5
  Feb 20, 2016 198   @ Georgia St. L 61-69 26%     9 - 16 7 - 9 -7.3 -7.0 -0.5
  Feb 25, 2016 219   Texas St. L 60-71 52%     9 - 17 7 - 10 -17.4 -14.8 -2.5
  Feb 27, 2016 107   Texas Arlington L 75-79 24%     9 - 18 7 - 11 -2.5 -8.2 +6.4
  Mar 01, 2016 77   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 80-89 8%     9 - 19 7 - 12 +1.1 +16.9 -16.2
  Mar 05, 2016 260   @ Appalachian St. L 73-80 39%     9 - 20 7 - 13 -10.2 -10.7 +1.3
Projected Record 9.0 - 20.0 7.0 - 13.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13 100.0% 100.0
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%